Thanks for reading my live-live notes! It was fun, but difficult, but overall, worth it! I hope to make this a tradition (at least for the Grand Final). If you did not come to this post until after the Contest, you’ll notice that it is in reverse chronological order, so scroll to the bottom and read your way back to the top of the page. I have hyperlinked each individual performance (click the country’s name). If you want to follow along in real time, here’s the link to the Grand Final on the official website. Good night!
Looks like I am still batting .800. Not too shabby! I had predicted that Germany (finished 21st) and Georgia (finished 15th) would be in the Top Ten and sorely missed the call there. I also predicted that the UK would finish in the Top 15, nope. I did call Sweden finishing 14th, though, so that’s pretty sweet! Overall, I’m quite happy with the results. While I do not think Denmark was the strongest in any one field (lyrics, composition, performance), I thought it had the best package. This is a situation similar to Norway’s win 2009. Now, all three Scandinavian countries have won since 2009 (that’s 3 out of 4 years!) – expand that to include all the Nordic countries (add in Finland and Iceland) and they have 4 victories since 2006 and a slew of Top Ten placings. I know people in the West like to whine about the East, but it’s the Nordic bloc that has taken control of the Contest. Not a bad thing, since all five of those countries take the Contest very seriously and tend to produce very strong entries. It will be interesting to see next year. DR is not as aggressive about change as SVT is (and, really, who is), so I am hoping that some things will revert – like, we’ll go back to random draw for the running order and we won’t have the host try to end the show early. Denmark won a long time before Petra announced it, so everything just seemed a bit awkward.
Anyway, I have complained a lot about SVT’s production, but I want to note some highlights: the opening and interval acts were all top notch. While I think they got a little too cheeky with the humor during tonight’s interval act, overall, it was funny and well done. Sarah Dawn Finer did an amazing job (though, I do wonder if anyone bothered calling the Herrey’s or Charlotte Perelli who also won for Sweden in 1984 and 1999, respectively) both as Lynda Woodruff and when she sung. I want to go find her now! I loved the postcards – they really helped endear you to each performing artist. And I thought the stage was really nifty (though, it was a little too easy to hide backing singers) – so well done there!
More to come in my usual “One Week Later” post. I will also go through and clean up this post for typos, correct factual mistakes, and add images and links to the performances.
Actual Top Ten
1. Denmark (1 for 1)
2. Azerbaijan (2 for 2)
3. Ukraine (3 for 3)
4. Norway (4 for 4)
5. Russia (4 for 5)
6. Greece (5 for 6)
7. Italy (6 for 7)
8. Malta (7 for 8)
9. The Netherlands (8 for 9)
10. Hungary (8 for 10)
I like that Denmark brought their own confetti to add to that which was already falling. Many said that the Danish staging was made to look like a winner – and it was! It looked good, it sounded good, it had strong lyrics, and a strong composition. It had huge support from fans, analysts, and bookies alike. It was song that was destined to win, albeit, I don’t think anyone (other than maybe the bookies who had this at much lower odds than everyone else) expected it to win by so much.
Boo SVT Boo!!!!!! You cut off the winner’s reprise – that is wholly unacceptable!
Yay – time for the Winner’s Reprise!! Not a close race like I was hoping for, but the outcome that I had wanted, most definitely! I promised myself that I would go to the Contest if Denmark were to win – looks like I’m heading back to Land of the Danes! As soon as the host city is officially announced – I will be booking plane tickets and hotel rooms (or couches of friends) and heading to the place where I first discovered the Contest back in 2007.
I love that she is walking through the flags of all the other countries – awesome!! Even better, I predicted this win way back when she took DMGP!
And Azerbaijan is officially second!
It’s a race for second! Azr is back in after Switzerland!
I think they just wanted to get Denmark moving. We’re already 25 minutes over the 3 hour allotment.
What’s the point of announcing a winner if we’ll keep going to the spokespersons? Is it simply because no Contest is complete without Cyprus officially giving 12 points to Greece?
We won’t get to the last few (Cyprus, Croatia, Switzerland, and Lithuania) — I like the light effect on her dress.
Macedonia – interesting, she forgot to say “Former Yugoslav Republic of ” before Macedonia, I think she’s getting tired. The FYR folks seem to be lining up behind Denmark. Fun!
Georgia – no surprises here
Slovenia – now the entire top 8 is over 100pts. 12pts to Denmark.
Montenegro – what’s up with that echo?
Denmark – No real surprises here.
Ireland – poor Ireland, they’re on track for their second last place finish.
Greece – Denmark breaks 200 and Azerbaijan regains second place.
France – And the Danes are just outside of 200 points. I don’t think she’ll crack 300, though.
Iceland – no surprises here. If I haven’t already, I am officially calling this for Denmark (I think I did earlier, but just in case I did not)
Germany – 12 to Hungary? Interesting, not too surprising. First slip up like that from a spokesperson in quite a few years.
Estonia – when will people learn, leading a vote announcement with “Our neighbors…” is not a good idea and will not buy you any love from the fans.
Malta – Oh – Azr! not expected! Looks like I’ll be eating crow for my words about the UK entry, it’s not doing too well.
Russia – no real shock except for 8pts to Belgium. But the sentiment seems rampant in Russian art that “love kills,” so I guess that’s why it got so many points.
Belgium – interesting to see where the points go without Turkey in the competition – The Netherlands, they’re fun neighbors to the north! Yay, at least Anouk got one 12 for the Netherlands. Good stuff.
Bulgaria – Armenia? how strange. Oh, Ukraine narrows the gap to a mere 14 points.
And Eric Saade knows a thing or two about leading at the halfway point, only to see that lead slip away. Though, Denmark’s lead is stronger than his was in 2011.
135 for Denmark, 113 for Ukraine, 100 for Azerbaijan
Latvia – It’s funny, you can hear the annoyance in Petra’s voice as she tries to get people to talk faster.
Belarus – first big points for Russia, who is also holding tight, like Norway. And Ukraine breaks 100.
Spain – Italy is back in the Top Ten.
Finland – Hungary is definitely doing better than expected. Denmark has a 36 point lead over second place Ukraine.
Italy – Still no points for poor Estonia 😦 And Denmark stretches it’s lead.
Armenia – Interesting, Norway, I think, has only gotten one big point, but it is racking up a lot of small ones and staying in the mix of the Top Ten. And the Ukraine is making a play for the top.
Norway – the party has been going for nearly 3 hours, Tooji. More big points for Malta! Do I see an underdog trying to make a run? No big points for Denmark? Interesting. Interesting that Sweden got their 12.
Azerbaijan – 8pts for Malta! The tiny nation climbs to 6th.
Moldova – only ten for Romania? 12 goes to? Ukraine – not surprising.
Romania – Azerbaijan is now only 7 points behind Denmark.
Hungary – Malta is holding tough! Azerbaijan is trying to keep things close, I wonder if it can close the gap (13 points).
Ukraine – the voting is going so fast! Thanks for slowing things down a bit. Belarus? Interesting.
Serbia – first FYR country gives their 12 to…Denmark. Okay – I think I need to start looking for flights to Copenhagen.
Israel – another unpredictable country. I feel like the same guy gives their points every year.
United Kingdom – only 1 point for Ireland? Interesting. Hmmm…Denmark has taken the lead. I wonder if they will relinquish it? Still too early to call it.
Austria – Azerbaijan is the only surprise, but it was a good performance. It really annoys me that Azerbaijan tends to hold a Turkish flag – boo! Support your own country!
The Netherlands – Way to screw things up producers! You revealed the 12 pointer way too early! and on the wrong country! yay neighbor voting in the West! And Roberto isn’t even Flemish!
Albania – Italy! Is this the beginning of a run to the top?
Sweden – way to go Petra, better she caught her issue now, as opposed to later. Finally, Sweden plays the part of a nice neighbor.
San Marino – only 4 points for Italy. and our first 12 goes to: Greece! Not expected, but who can guess the minds of the Sammarinese
Another awful outfit for our lovely host. Voting time!!
Oh, it’s Melodifestivalen regular and Lynda Woodruff player: Sarah Dawn Finer. What a beautiful voice!
I love The Winner Takes it All! And she’s doing an amazing job with it! Who is this?
Ooh! I wonder why this is like the second or third time that they’ve gone to Jon Ola without him being ready – but given there is a singer ready, I’m assuming that was planned. OOh! Judging by what he said, he makes it sound like it will be a tie – and they’re going through to see who the winner is after the countback — how awesome would that be!!
Aww…he’s reminding us why pop stars do not equal good host. I’m guessing he’s just nervous.
Everyone’s favorite dancing, overrated singing Swede – Eric Saade!
Love the sequence of over-the-top endings!
Poor Linda Martin, no need to attack her.
Yay, more history!!
Two and a half hours, Petra, two and a half hours.
What?! That’s all the Carola that we get? The woman that brought the wind machine to ESC gets only five seconds after all the promotion they did around her appearance, I thought she would at least get to do a medley of her three ESC songs, especially her winner (that we only got three seconds of).
In case you were wondering, Sweden has the highest rate of lactose intolerance in the world.
The video they have preceding the Interval Act is hilarious! (though, they started it a little early, but it was quickly corrected) How is it that Sweden seems to be allowed to cross all sorts of lines that the EBU typically shuts down (there was a guy with several penises drawn on his face and a bare bottom)? Azerbaijan would not have been allowed to get away with a lot of this. I was wondering why Petra was wearing yet another awful outfit – it’s to make fun of her country – yay! Interestingly enough, this outfit is her least awful. And she just said “titties” on pan-European television. An entry would not have been allowed to get away with this. What is going on? Why is SVT allowed to do whatever it pleases? Oh, more pandering to the gays. yay. I expect a lot of backlash in tomorrow’s papers across the Continent.
|My Top Ten on the Night||Who I think will be Top Ten|
|The Netherlands||The Netherlands|
What is Loreen wearing?! I like that she’s back, but I hate the idea of a song being performed during the voting sequence. It distracts from the competitors, especially when they are not running the voting numbers throughout the sequence – which is utterly silly for them to not do. Boo SVT. Oh! My Heart is Refusing Me the song she lost Melodifestivalen in 2011(?) with, but it went on to be a big hit. And, of course, Euphoria complete with stage lift!
After the recap, I think the entries that stand out the most to me are: Greece and France. That’s it for now. Top Ten for the night soon to follow.
Poor cameraman, he must have drawn the short straw.
Ireland Only Love Survives performed by Ryan Dolan — those drummers are just a bit much in my opinion. Why does the standard ESC answer to falling odds always seem to be throwing half-naked people at their problem? Ryan is a bit off tonight – too much pressure closing the show? I think with the strength of singers we have this year, the vocal performance is going to play a bigger part than ever – I don’t think he has the chops to compete. This is a nice diddy and he’s singing well enough but that won’t be enough, in my opinion. It’s a nice close to the show, but I don’t expect Ireland to finish higher than, maybe, 14th or so.
Georgia Waterfall performed by Nodi Tatishvili & Sopho Gelovani — the final ballad on the night, which will give it a big boost in the voting, both jury and televotes. The fact that this is also a standard ESC ballad (composed by ESC legend Thomas G:son) will also help it out a lot. What will not help – Sopho singing like she did on Thursday night. She was off-key for a large part of the second half of the song starting at the big note. Tonight – she’s doing better (Nodi is a little off) but will it be enough? Ex that, she’s flat for that last note. I don’t know – with Italy, Azerbaijan, Denmark, Italy, the Netherlands, and Ukraine all turning in flawless performances, I think Georgia just sung their way out of contention.
Norway Feed Your My Love performed by Margaret Berger — in case you didn’t know, she’s a DJ – that’s why she’s dj-ing in the postcard. She needs a stronger performance here than she gave in the semi-final if she hopes to stay in contention. And she gave it!! Listen to the audience – that could win! I just wonder if Europe will appreciate her sound.
Italy L’Essenziale performed by Marco Mengoni — Mengoni brings the song that he won Sanremo with – given how big and competitive that contest is, we know that this song is battletested and proven in competition. I think the press, who seem to be rating this song lower than the bookies, are down on this song because he was very nonchalant throughout his time in Malmo. I think he was flawless during that performance and thrown down the gauntlet. Italy has reached the Top Ten each of the last years since returning to the Contest, there’s no reason it won’t do the same now (especially with all the former Yugoslav nations out of the running and looking to someone to throw votes at).
Ukraine Gravity performed by Zlata Ognevich — still don’t quite get the giant (apparently it’s a reference to Easter European folklore). His footsteps still don’t align with the camera shakes. I think this year we are seeing some of the best vocalists we have seen at the Contest in a long time – that was vocally amazing. The song is going to be hit or miss for a lot of folks, so I don’t think it will win, but it will be Top Ten for sure.
Greece Alcohol is Free performed by Koza Nostra fest. Agathon Iakovidis — this song has actually sneaked its way into the oddsmakers’ top ten. It’s so different than everything else – not to mention that it’s staged and performed so well. And, the fact that it’s Greece doesn’t hurt either. This song will probably finish in the 5-10 range.
Azerbaijan Hold Me performed by Farid Mammadov — I think his nerves may be getting him, his voice is a little flat and his hand shaky, but he still sounds fairly good (or, at least as good as he can sound). Great performance! This will definitely be contending for a top spot.
Iceland Ég á Líf performed by Eythor Ingi — flawless performance – utterly flawless. I think this could also shock a lot of folks, too! What a strong year this is shaping up to be.
Denmark Only Teardrops performed by Emmelie de Forrest — Huge crowd reaction for Denmark! Amazing performance! Well done well done — Gå Danmark! This song has winner dripping all over it – I think we just saw a winning performance.
And now we begin our run of heavy hitters – songs 18 (Denmark), 20 (Azerbaijan), 22 (Ukraine), 23 (Norway), 24 (Italy), and 25 (Georgia) are all in the top ten of the oddsmakers.
Hungary Kedvesem performed by Bye.Alex — still a bit dull but he sounds just like he does every time he performs this song. Apparently, there’s enough hipsters and indie fans to get this song to the Final, but are there enough to get Bye.Alex and Kedvesem on the better side of the scoreboard – probably not.
Sweden You performed by Robin Stjernberg — not as big a crowd reaction as the home performance usually gets, interesting. Now it’s time for Stjernberg to prove that he actually can sing this song live. Those two dancers are rather distracting. That big note is a lot better than when we typically hear it. Still not great, but better. With the host country bump, this should finish around 12th or so.
United Kingdom Believe in Me performed by Bonnie Tyler — big crowd reaction for Ms. Tyler. She’s rather off-key 😦 But she just seems to be warming up – there she goes! Love the camera effect for this last run through of the chorus!! The stage lift is nice, unneccessary, but nice. Huge crowd reaction – though! Good stuff. I hope that she is able to prove her countrymen wrong, as Britons seem to be the only folks who don’t think this song can finish in the top half of the entries (it’s 11th or 12th in the odds right now).
Romania It’s My Life performed by Cezar — Not the first operatic act in the Final (not at all) as Cezar thinks he is, but he is the first countertenor who uses his supreme range throughout the entire song to qualify for the Final. Still not quite sure how he did, though. Still cannot find his backing singer, she’s hidden well! Yeah, still not convinced that this song can do much, Europe has never gone for countertenors before, I don’t think it will now. Past operatic acts never finished higher than mid-table and I do not expect this one to.
Brace yourselves everyone – here comes Romania!
The Netherlands Birds performed by Anouk — if you don’t understand the lyrics – want to understand why the album this comes from is called Sad Singalong Songs, or just want to feel blue, watch the official video (after the Final, of course). I wonder how big an impact following the advert break will be – I wonder if she was placed here to help bring people back faster. Oh my, the fans are really into this one! As I’ve said before, this song could shock a lot of folks and win (or at least finish Top Three).
I’m getting tired of all the pandering to the gays. Really? Really? Do we really need so much pandering? I think not.
The crowd preemptively cheered for Anouk, only to realize that Petra Mede was on stage. Then cheered again for Lynda Woodruff – who’s skits are awesome! Love the viking helmet! I love how she’s acting as if ABBA is the Swedish royal family – hilarious!!
Armenia Lonely Planet performed by The Dorians — Another song that leaves me curious on how it slipped through to the final. The timing sounds off, like the singer is slightly behind the music. He got pipes, though! The pyro is unnecessary. Still do not think it will make the Top Ten, but then again, I didn’t think it could qualify.
Germany Glorious performed by Cascada — I have yet to hear this song performed, in a big concert style like this, in which Natalie Horner (Cascada’s singer) was on key throughout the song. It’s such a foot stomper, and Cascada is so big, that it probably won’t effect the fan vote at all (I wholeheartedly expect Germany to be top five in the televote) but I wonder if the juries will bring down the score.
Something has just come to mind. The advert break is usually after song 12. I wonder if they will push it back for Anouk or if the are subjecting her to following it (a spot that is notorious for hurting the entry). Not only would following the advert break be a disadvantage, but coming before the craziness that is Romania would not help things.
Russia What If? performed by Dina Garipova — uh oh, first notes were a little off. Is someone nervous? She looks it. She’s recovered, but not as strong as on Tuesday, I think. Still, though, a solid performance. There’s every reason to believe that this will finish in the Top Ten.
Malta Tomorrow performed by Gianluca — this song is so adorable, and the lyric video in the background is great. It fits the song so well. As I said on Thursday, it definitely gives you that sing-a-long on the beach feel, which is what they are going for. Hey! That one random fan guy was singing along, but facing away from the stage. Hahaha!
Belarus Solayoh performed by Alyona Lanskaya — much better than on Tuesday. The staging is still much too busy, but Lanskaya sounded a thousands times better. Only a couple of times was she screaming, hmm…she may be moving back into my predicted Top Ten.
Estonia Et Uus Saaks Alguse performed by Birgit — Is it me, or does she look naked during this black and white portion? Still a very lovely ballad, still a bit forgettable, still beautifully sung. And still, all I can think about is France and Amandine’s awesome performance, sorry Estonia. Great song, though!
Belgium Love Kills performed by Roberto Bellarosa — he definitely seems to have a bit more stage presence this time around. I guess qualifying gave him the confidence he needed. His dancers are so creepy! And that look he just gave the camera (right after that big note) was a bit deranged! Overall, a much better performance than on Tuesday – well done young man!! Is he crying? No one expected Belgium to be here, not even him, I suppose.
Spain Contigo Hasta el Final performed by ESDM — another contender for last place. Not because it’s a bad song (actually, it’s an amazing song; it’s not too often you hear Spain embracing the Celtic roots of Galicia (they sent a major Galician artist in 2011, but gave her a thoroughly Spanish song) but because it’s kinda of just there for most ESC fans. Did she just change her dress? Let that be a warning – don’t ESC and type, my friends. Iteresting choice to go full throttle, then pull it back. Love the floating lamps! Is it just me, or was she flat throughout that whole song?
Finland Marry Me performed by Krista Siegfrids — a bit less energy at the beginning here. I hated this song, then liked it, then loved it, then hated it again. And the part at the end of the performance is silly and, in my opinion, demeaning – but that’s a post for another time. Ably performed once again, albeit with a little less enthusiasm and energy tonight. The question is, will she be able to garner enough points from the more conservative populaces (particularly those in the East) to land a decent placing? Not sure.
Moldova O Mie performed by Aliona Moon — her voice is not quite as strong as on Tuesday. And her hair does not seem as high, either. Though, I will say, the song is captivating enough that I forgot about her backing dancers for the entire first half of the song. Awesome! Maybe not Top Ten, though, since it is so early in the Running Order.
Lithuania Something performed by Andrius Pojavis — Still not quite sure how this got through to the Final. It’s pleasant I suppose. The lyrics still don’t make any sense to me. I predict a near bottom finish for this song.
France L’Enfer et Moi performed by Amandine Bourgeois — That was a heck of a performance – bravo!! Amandine is going to shock a lot of folks when she scores well, I think.
BTW, my pre-Contest prediction for Top Ten
5. The Netherlands
France is opening for us this year! An interesting choice, but I guess it can inject some energy into the fans – but what kind, I’m not sure. Like any French girl, Amandine loves trying on new clothes.
As I said before, Azerbaijan’s biggest fear is to have Italy too close, and they’re only four songs away, with Italy going after AZR, I predict that neither will win because of this, opening the door for a brawl between Denmark, Norway, and Georgia. Though, given the semi-final performances, Denmark is the strongest of the three.
Whoo!! I’m stoked – this promises to be a close a Contest with the five biggest favorites are stacked together at the end of the running order.
Clearly, Sweden does not seem to have any good fashion designers because this is Petra’s third straight ugly dress.
I find it interesting that only Gianluca of Malta got a huge fan reaction – perhaps he’ll bring Malta back to the Top Ten this year?
So, I really liked the opening clip of the caterpillar heading to Malmo. And I really like opening song. I know it’s supposed to feel like the opening of the Olympics, but it feels more like the Junior ESC when every country gets introduced. I do love it, though!
This year I am writing notes live and then immediately posting so remember to refresh your browser.
It’s that time of year again – when Europe comes together to choose one song to rule them all over the next year. For the 58th time, the Continent is unifying in this way to select the 61st winning song of the Eurovision Song Contest (remember, 1969 had four winners). The first stage in this process is the semi-final round in which 33 songs enter, but only 20 will advance to the Grand Final. Tonight in the First Semi-Final, 16 entries battle for ten available spots. Tonight we will the big favorite (Denmark), one of the biggest names competing this year (the Netherlands), an American (Slovenia), an American-born singer (Austria), the first jESC participant to be a lead singer (Serbia), and two The Voice champions (Belgium and Russia). As I have done the past five years, I will be taking notes as I watch the show for the first time and will post them (after some light editing for fixing abbreviations and typos). Given that I live in the US and have a full time job, I cannot post notes live during the semi-finals because I will not be watching them until evening my time.
This is the tenth year of the televised semi-final (but only the fifth year of the dual semi-finals). That sets this year up to be historic – some things I expect to happen this year that we haven’t seen in quite a while (or ever):
1. The Netherlands will qualify for the Grand Final (for the first time since 2004). It’s been ten years – they have to! The Netherlands have sent some of its biggest stars in the past (2007, 2008, 2009, 2011), but never one quite as big as Anouk. And, this is the best song that the country has sent in a while. It’s not too often that history is on the Netherlands’ side.
2. Montenegro will also qualify – probably the most popular Montenegrin entry to date and already one of the most commercially successful entries this year, Igranka.
3. Romania will fail to qualify – something that has never happened before. Again, the law of averages says it must happen eventually and this year seems like as good a time as any for it to come to pass.
4. We will see a tie (or at least a really, really close result) in the Grand Final. It only took until the 14th Contest for the first tie to occur (1969), then, 22 years passed before the next one (1991). It has now been 22 years since the last tie, and I think we’re due for one! I just hope they have an interesting and suspenseful way of going through the tie-break procedure (as opposed to just having the computer do it automatically).
As a reminder, I predicted that these songs would move through based on fan chatter, betting odds, history, and personal opinion:
I will make my final predictions during the interval act. Onward!!
I like this opening video – Malta to Germany to Greece to France to Russia to Ireland to Macedonia to Israel – I love how Euphoria seems to have swept over all of ESC-land. And now all these beautiful flag-butterflies arrive in Malmo. I’m loving this children’s choir!
This is great!! I love this re-interpreted version of the song. I love that everyone is signing (though, it’s always fun to be reminded that sign language changes across country boundaries). I love that Loreen disappeared into the crowd and that the host just came out of the stage. I wonder if that will be the last we see of Loreen, probably. 😦
The host: For the first time since the mid-90s, we will have only one host to guide us – and she’ll be doing that with her loud, British accent and bright, shiny dress!
The stage looks cool, but a little dated. Like, this almost looks like a Contest from the early nineties.
On to the entries!!
Love the postcard idea – show the artist in their home country with a flag butterfly floating around!! Yay!
Austria Shine performed by Nataliá Kelly
Where did all this vibrato come from? Every note warbles. Uh oh, that big note was not nearly big enough. Sorry Nataliá, I just don’t think that was enough to get you through (especially since they got rid of the sparkle shower that she had in the national selection).
Estonia Et Uus Saaks Alguse performed by Birgit Õigemeel
So, Birgit Õigemeel is pregnant! Ooh, black and white! As if to say, “we don’t think our song is quite dull and dated enough.” Oh, here comes the color! That was a pleasant effect; so is having her out on the satellite stage with the backing singer just over her shoulder. The addition of that big note was nice; it definitely gave this song a bit more oomph! Still don’t think it was enough to qualify, but I don’t think it will be last.
Slovenia Straight Into Love performed by Hannah
I don’t know how I feel about them using that beat between each entry. Ooh!! She keeps missing those big notes in the refrain. Her dances trot the line between entertaining and distracting. Well hid backing singers – I almost lost that round of “Spot the Backing Singer” (they’re behind the stage right butterfly wing). I love this song – but that performance was a mess! This will probably be last.
Croatia Mižerija performed by Klapa s More
I love how big their voices are! That was quite pleasant! I still think Estonia is the best thus far, but this is quite good; a close second!
Denmark Only Teardrops performed by Emmelie de Forest
I recognize some of those places in the postcard!!
The crowd reaction is huge!! And it hasn’t even started yet.
Why are the backing singers up so loud? This performance is exactly like it was at DMGP – whoops, spoke too soon, there’s confetti here. This was good, and since she’s the heavy favorite, she’ll sail through tonight, but she’ll have to step up her game on Saturday if she hopes to win. But that ending (and the whole thing, actually) looked and felt a lot like a winner’s reprise, which I am sure was on purpose.
I liked the tagline bit, particularly the “Don’t complain, it’s even more expensive in Norway.”
Russia What If? performed by Dina Garipova
Ahh! The beat is annoying, I keep expecting Euphoria to start.
Time for another round of “Spot the Backing Singers!” Nevermind, there they are. Ooh, she botched some notes there. This is a revamp from the studio version where she sings mostly on her own. The choral effect is really effective!! It actually makes me like this song and the lights throughout the auditorium are lovely! I know I’ve written off Russia previously, but that was really good and reestablishes this entry as a legitimate contender in my book.
Ukraine Gravity performed by Zlata Ognevich
What was the point of having that tall guy carry her out? It’s distracting, from his presence to his outfit – just dumb. It already seems like a much more tacky staging after the beautiful one we just saw from Russia. I like the backing singers coming out of the ground. She has a beautiful voice and she is dressed splendidly…but…this is still a weak song in my book, musically and lyrically. Coming into tonight, I thought this was the most overrated entry, seeing it here has done nothing to change that opinion. It will most definitely open the Grand Final if it is drawn in the first half, of that I am sure.
The Netherlands Birds performed by Anouk
Ooh, I can’t wait to hear this!!
Hmmm…her voice seems a bit off, like, just below where it is supposed to be. Don’t know if we needed to see the backing singers there. I still think this is the classiest song in the competition this year; and the staging fits it perfectly. Not sure if it will go through (despite my immense enthusiasm for this song).
Montenegro Igranka performed by Who See
This is madness!! I’m a little dizzy for watching this. Props to the cameramen and directors, they are doing an excellent job capturing the craziness of this song and performance. Interesting choice to have her sing without backing singers – I think it added to the “lost in space” vibe. I think this one will be close.
Lithuania Something performed by Andrius Pojavis
I think they need a dancer here, just a one woman dancing around Andrius on stage. This song still does nothing for me. I do not see it doing anything.
Belarus Solayoh performed by Alyona Lanskaya
Did she seriously just emerge from a giant disco ball? Is she out of breath? I can barely hear her. And when I do, it sounds more like she’s shouting than singing. Ooh, she botched those big notes there. Nice pyrotechnics. When this song was chosen, there were a lot of high hopes and expectations for it, I think those are completely gone now; Belarus will be lucky just to qualify.
Moldova O Mie performed by Aliona Moon
Aliona Moon, I think because of how red her hair is, always looks like a character from the Final Fantasy series to me. What’s up with her hair? It’s like something from The Flintstones or The Jetsons; why isn’t jetting out to the side like in the national final? I hope you’re paying attention, Slovenia, that’s how you use three male dancers. Amazing vocals! Amazing song! Amazing staging (love the dress and the riser)! Why is this song not getting more respect?! Most definitely the dark horse this year; expect Moldova to finish Top Ten on Saturday.
Ireland Only Love Survives performed by Ryan Dolan
Ooh, shirtless men! Oh, just when I was going to say that his vocal performance was better than anticipated, he botches that huge note at the beginning of the chorus. His voice is a bit whiny. I don’t know, I’m on the fence. This one might sneak through, but I think that Estonia might take its spot in the Final.
Love the feature on Australia! Fun how the first Contest broadcasted there was when Sweden gained victory number two!
Cyprus An Me Themase performed by Despina Olympiou
I love the staging of the opening, well done! She missed that big note going into the last run through of the chorus and again on that second to last note. Otherwise, this was an amazing performance. I always appreciate it when a performer goes out on stage with a nice, tasteful, simple performance by themselves. Well done, well done!
Belgium Love Kills performed by Roberto Bellarosa
Perhaps Belgium could have loaned one of its dancers to Lithuania, as, together, they’re a little creepy. This is going to sound meaner than it is supposed to, but Roberto Bellarosa looks like a robot. He’s showing zero emotion – is that intentional? This was better than expected, but I still don’t think that it will do anything.
Serbia Ljubav je Svuda performed by Moje 3
WHAT. ARE. THEY. WEARING?!?!?!?! If I didn’t already know the lyrics, I would think this is a song about two lesbians fighting over a girl. It was smart to have the backing singers so that the main three could act out the song, but again, there was something lost – that was…not good.
|My Top Ten for the night||Who I Think Will Qualify|
I find it interesting that Montenegro chose to use just the part of Nina singing as the recap clip.
Also, I find it interesting that they are not showing the numbers throughout the entire voting sequence.
I love the history clips though!! Yay for cherishing history!
Hmm…we seem to have a bunch of people dancing in the snow to a deconstructed version of Euphoria.
I don’t get modern dance.
They should have just made the entire interval act Lynda Woodruff – that segment was awesome!
Boo Sweden, boo! Why are you showing us the postcards for the automatic qualifiers? Though, I do love that Natalie Horner (lead singer of Germany’s Cascada) is wearing an American flag t-shirt.
Who Actually Qualified
Here we go! Moment of truth!
Moldova Good stuff! (1 for 1)
Lithuania What?!?!?!?!?! I guess Belgium is not moving through (1 for 2)
Ireland No real surprise there (2 for 3)
Estonia She had enough tonight to pull it through! (3 for 4)
Belarus Hmm….interesting….that performance was a hot mess! Guess Croatia is not moving through (3 for 5)
Denmark Well, duh! (4 for 6)
Russia Again, not surprise here, she was great tonight! (5 for 7)
Belgium Interesting. Didn’t think Belgium and Lithuania would both go through, guess Montenegro will not be moving through (6 for 8)
Ukraine No surprise here (7 for 9)
The Netherlands oohh, why did they have to pause for so long? That was almost too much anticipation for me to bear! (8 for 10)
That was a very satisfying semi-final. Three surprises.
Small Surprise: Estonia performed well enough to make a lasting impression.
Medium Surprise: So did Belgium.
Big Surprise: Lithuania is going to be performing again on Saturday night. Shocking!
In the end, I am satisfied with the songs that are moving through. I love Slovenia, but Hannah sounded awful tonight. I also loved Cyprus, but no one expected that song to get to the Final. I am so happy that the Netherlands have made it back to the Final, finally, after waiting so long (in case you did not know, the last time the Netherlands qualified for a Final was 2004, the first year with a televised semi-final). I’m a little disappointed that Croatia did not progress, but, again, not too surprising given that it was buried amongst a lot of popular female ballads.
In the end, the juries and the public made the best decisions. An interesting note about the draws that happened during the press conference, with the exception of Denmark, Ukraine, and Ireland, all the songs were drawn for the first half of the show. That means several things:
1. Estonia will probably end up being second in the running order again.
2. The Netherlands have most likely lost its shot of winning
3. Denmark’s chances have exponentially increased as it will most likely be placed towards the end of the running order (since it’s so popular) giving it amble opportunity to leave a lasting impression.
I’m so excited for Thursday!!
Here we are, less than one week out from the First Semi-Final! With rehearsals in full swing, we are seeing some of the last throws of changes and adjustments ahead of next week’s shows. Below, I will be giving my final review and predictions for each entry – pulling in everything I know and have learned in terms of history, betting odds, and fan chatter.
I’ll give a brief review of every entry, then dive deeper into who I think will win.
Starting with the First Semi-Final:
Estonia – This song has definitely grown on me since the first time I heard it. It’s still quite dull, though, and will make zero impact on the night. I fear that it will be struggling to avoid last place.
Slovenia – I love this song! And the fact that Hannah Mancini is American only makes me like it all that much more. Unfortunately, there’s usually only room for one club track in ESC and Norway owns it this year. Even within its own semi-final, Slovenia is less memorable (and appears earlier than) Montenegro and will likely suffer because of it.
Croatia – Classy, simple, clean – it’s lovely. It will garner points for being so culturally true, but it will suffer from being so early and so slow. Like Austria, I think it might sneak into the Final and then just sit there.
Denmark – This is the big favorite to win, I loved it since the first time I heard it at DMGP. If this song is not in the Top Five, I would be shocked.
Russia – Dina Garipova has a beautiful voice, but this song is sooo bland. It will do well given that its Russia and I wholeheartedly expect this to finish in the Top Ten.
Ukraine – I’ve said it before, the retooled version is miles better than the original, but it’s still a bit too theatrical, I think, to challenge for a win. I think being from the Ukraine will get the entry some points as will the sheer power of Zlata Ognevich’s voice. Unfortunately, the feedback from rehearsals is not good and her chances are sinking.
The Netherlands – Anouk is a rather amazing performer and the chatter is that she is keeping her presentation simple, which is perfect for this song. I think there’s a lot of positive buzz around this song but the Dutch’s stock seems to be dropping. I think she will qualify, but struggle to reach the Top Ten.
Montenegro – I’m still on the fence about this song, personally. Depending on the mood of the voters, I think this could take the last qualifying spot away from Austria or Croatia.
Lithuania – The song doesn’t entirely make sense and it’s not very dynamic. I think this will be challenging Estonia for last place on Tuesday.
Belarus – I think of this year’s 39 entries, Belarus’ stock dropping faster than anyone else. When Solayoh was revealed, it was immediately counted as a contender to win. Now, people think it will be lucky to qualify – which I think it will do as long as the presentation is decent.
Ireland – I think this is in a similar situation as Slovenia, except Ireland is a much more popular and successful country than Slovenia or Montenegro in ESC. I think that it will qualify for the Final, but not do too much after that.
Cyprus – Another one of my absolute favorites this year. But, like Estonia, I think it is a bit too dull to do anything. I think it benefits from being expertly sung (particularly, following Ireland) but I do not think Despina Olympiou’s fantastic vocals will be enough to bring success to Cyprus this year.
Belgium – This song gets better each time I hear it. Unfortunately, viewers only have one time to listen and Roberto Bellarosa is not necessarily a great live singer.
Serbia – This song is a hot mess, and I think it’s stock is also headed in the wrong direction. It has all the makings of a dud.
Bottom Line: Who do I think will qualify?
I think Denmark is the only one from this bunch that can actually win.
Take a quick breath. Ready? Onward to Semi-Final Two.
Latvia – I never particularly cared for this song. I recently looked up their other song from the Latvian, Sad Trumpet, it’s amazing, which makes me dislike this song even more.
San Marino – Already proving itself to be SM’s most popular entry, it scored a second placing in ESCToday/OGAE’s Annual Poll of Clubs. I think this could surprise a lot of folks and finish Top Ten.
Azerbaijan – I think Azerbaijan’s weakest entry yet, but it will benefit from the fact that Turkey is not voting. They even released a Turkish language version (which is awful, by the way) in order to capitalize on the Turkish diaspora.
Finland – Like Belgium and Estonia, this song has definitely grown on me and she has a cult following across Europe. But, most Finnish entries seem to garner a cult following of some degree (I’m thinking of 2010, especially) and still not go anywhere. I’m thinking that this will qualify and finish mid-table.
Malta – I really like this, it’s adorable, genuine, and very sweet. I do not think, though, that it will make a lasting impression on the night, but it could sneak through.
Iceland – This song is a bit captivating and is generally well-received throughout the fan-sites. I think it will qualify and has a chance to sneak up the scoreboard.
Greece – Great song! It will definitely qualify, but how will it do? I think it depends on the running order – if it’s surrounded by two ballads (like it is in the semi-final) I think it has a real shot of being Top Ten, otherwise, it will finish mid-table.
Israel – The question is, will the amazingness of this song be outweighed by the horrendous fashion and hairstyle? Probably.
Hungary – I really, really like this. But it’s so soft I think that it will be loss among the shuffle.
Norway – This song is very different from the grand majority of ESC entries, which means that it will either be wildly successful or fail greatly. It has a lot of fan support and haunts you long after listening – it’s bound to do well.
Albania – This song seems to be fairly popular, but I do not know why. It will benefit from being the only rock song in the Contest this year.
Georgia – “Eurovision by Numbers” is the phrase that everyone seems to be throwing around for this entry. I agree, but I don’t mind – it’s a fantastic entry in my opinion and can challenge for the win.
Switzerland – I love this song but it seems to be getting mixed reviews. I think it’s just good enough to qualify (when was the last time the Dutch and the Swiss were in a Final together? 2003 I think).
Romania – Romania will be the next country with a 100% Final qualification rate to fall (as Turkey did in 2011 and Georgia did in 2012).
The Bottom Line: Who do I think will qualify?
I think Georgia and Azerbaijan are the most serious contenders.
Whew! Blink a few times – maybe take a sip of water – onward to the Final!!
France – I love! this song. It’s great! For some unknown reason, no one else seems to. I think with a really good presentation (Amandine Bourgeois alone on stage (the backing singers can be off-camera on the catwalk – like Sweden last year) with flames that grow higher throughout and begin to dance by the end), this song could be a dark horse.
Germany – I like this a lot, I wonder if Europe will get up and dance or be tired of all the club tracks between last year and this year. I think Cascada, on name alone, will be able to break the Top Ten.
Italy – In my opinion, this is the most overrated song this year. Everyone is talking about how much they love it and how great it is, but I do not see what separates this entry from Iceland or Israel (or even Cyprus and Estonia for that matter) – they’re all well sung ballads in my opinion. Expect it to fight with Georgia for jury points.
Spain – I really like this entry, it’s really sweet and I love the Celtic sound (the band is from northern Spain, where Celtic Galician region is). However, it will merely be a palate cleanser between whatever two song its performed between. I don’t think it will be last.
Sweden – I think this song has great potential, but I have yet to see Robin Stjernberg perform this song live well. While the viewing public may not care as much, the juries will (remember Russia 2011?).
United Kingdom – I like it; it’s grown on me. Most of the comments I see and the betting odds all seem to have this song doing well (except for Britons, but after following the Contest since 2007, I do not think there is a single thing the BBC can do that won’t make British fans whine).
Bottom Line: Which of these six do I think can finish in the Top Ten?
So, who’s going to win?
I think there are only four legitimate contenders: Denmark, Italy, Georgia, and Azerbaijan.
Denmark – the big favorite among the fans and the bookies – by a country mile! This song’s biggest challenge is whether it can withstand being in a field of 26 others. If this song is stuck in the first half of the Grand Final, then it can sink. It’s a great song, but it doesn’t leave a lasting impression; if it’s mixed with other pleasant entries (like Switzerland, the UK, Spain) or more memorable entries (like Ukraine or Norway) then it will be forgotten by the average viewer.
Italy – perceived, by just about everyone, as the strongest ballad in the field this year. If Marco Mengoni has to worry about Eythor Ingi (Iceland) being within close range, then I he’ll also have to worry about losing votes to him. The two songs are similar in appearance, tone, and mood and can split votes, resulting in lower placings for both of them.
Georgia – a powerful, stirring ballad that represents one of the best efforts of ESC legend Thomas G:son. Conversely, the drawback from of having a renowned ESC composer writing for you – all his songs have a similar sound and put this song at risk of sounding generic.
Azerbaijan – Turkey is not competing, leaving Europe’s biggest diaspora up for grabs and ripe for the picking for mini-Turkey: Azerbaijan. Everything about this entry is average – thehttps://eurovisionobsession.wordpress.com/wp-admin/post.php?post=608&action=edit singing, the lyrics, the music; I also doubt Azerbaijan wants to host again so quickly after last year’s Contest.
I stick by my prediction from a few weeks ago, Denmark and Georgia will be battling it out for victory.
Be sure to check back on Wednesday, Friday, and Saturday when I will be posting my annual live notes! Every year, I take notes as I am watching the Semi-Finals and Grand Final and post them here for your reading pleasure! The shows occur at 3PM here, so I have to watch the semi-finals later in the day (hence why the notes are posted the following day). I will try to keep my Grand Final notes on here live this year after Twitter failed me last year – so be sure to check back in on Saturday!
Bom Dià! Welcome back to Eurovision Obsession and welcome to the third installment of my “Contender or Pretender” series. Throughout this week I am looking at each of the ten entries with the top betting odds (courtesy of oddschecker.com) in random order. In part one, I declared both, the Netherlands and Norway, as contenders for the Eurovision crown in 2013. In part two, I dashed the hopes of Russia and Sweden, labeling both as pretenders (i.e., overrated). Today, I turn my judgment towards Azerbaijan and Italy.
Song: Hold Me Performing Artist: Farid Mammadov
Why it is a contender: Azerbaijan is a very strong ESC participant, finishing in the Top Ten in each of its five attempts, including a victory in 2011. Not to mention that the song is pleasant enough that it’s hard to imagine anyone disliking it. Azerbaijan is also very good at promoting its entries as well as staging them. Generally speaking, all of its entries have been staged in such a way to maximize their impact. Much like in 2011, Azerbaijan presents a generic ballad; much like 2011, a good staging and no Turkey to split its votes with, may result in another vicotry for the Caucasus country.
Why it is a pretender: Unlike every other Azerbaijani entry, we don’t see Mammadov being shipped all over Europe to perform and promote his entry. Additionally, we aren’t seeing the hundreds of thousands of dollars being poured into this entry that we normally see with Azerbaijan; there’s no music video, no fancy remixes, not even the reporting of an endearing backstory to endear you to the song. Perhaps, after all the expenses of last year, Azerbaijan is not too eager to host the Contest again any time soon.
Final Verdict: Pretender. Azerbaijan is phoning this entry in, and its very evident. Don’t get me wrong, Mammadov does the best he can with a decent song, but honestly, if Hold Me was coming from any country west of Russia and south of Denmark, it would not be on anyone’s radar.
Song: L’Essenziale Performing Artist: Marco Mengoni
Why it is a contender: Unlike Monaco, Luxembourg, and Poland, which were all consistently getting low marks before pulling out of the Contest, Italy was rather successful. Since returning, Italy has finished in the Top Ten both times. Altogether, among its 37 previous entries, it’s finished last once and in the Top Ten 27 times (including two victories and six other Top Three finishes). Not only that, Mengoni has already proven his ability to win this song by taking the San Remo crown with L’Essenziale.
Why it is a pretender: Despite Italy’s strong track record and the entry’s San Remo championship, it is somewhat boring, particularly when compared to Italy to previous songs (both, uptempo jazz numbers). The song has the added difficulty of having only one opportunity to impress the viewers, as it will not be performed at either Semi-Final.
Final Verdict: Pretender. This song tries to impress with its subtleness and simplicity, which will win it lots of support from the juries; however, I do not think this will translate over to the viewing public, particularly if the SVT producers sink it in the running order determination process. While its final slot in the running order will determine its odds, as of right now, I would not put money on this song to contend for the victory.
Agree? Disagree? Leave comments below!
Come back tomorrow when I will be examining Denmark and the Ukraine!
*A note, this series is based on a series on the espn.com ACC blog.