Howdy Readers! I realize that last time I wimped out; I didn’t give you all solid predictions. Now that I can say that the Contest is later this month, I wanted to provide my updated predictions. I also wanted to give you all a road map to the remaining pre-Contest posts. It will start with the prediction post. Next week, I will add my commentary from the Eurovision 2008 Contest, and the following week I will add my notes from the 2009 Contest. I wanted to do this so you all would get an understanding of what I like and expect from the Contest; so you know what to expect from my live commentary on this year’s Contest. The final pre-Contest post will be updated predictions for each of the semi-finals. I will then have live commentary for each semi-final and an updated prediction for the Grand Final.
So, onwards to these predictions!
Qualifiers: Slovakia (it’s actually a favorite to win by many fans and bookies!), Belgium (the song has been generally well-received; it’s time for them to qualify out of the semis), Greece (because it’s Greece, and its a party song), Iceland (another well-received), Finland (Europe likes folk music), Estonia (I truly believe that this will be a dark horse entry-an entry that gets little attention before the Contest, but does really well, like ICE2009), Latvia (the jury will boost her score), Albania (another up-tempo song amidst ballads), Bosnia & Herzegovina (another one that will be boosted by the jury…and diaspora voting), Russia (because it’s Russia).
Going home: Moldova (they’re starting the show!), Serbia (the comments have been almost universally negative!), Poland (comments rate it as boring), Malta (critics say that her voice isn’t strong enough for the song), Portugal (see Poland), Macedonia (I haven’t found much of anything on this entry), Belarus (generally received as pleasant, but not great)
Qualifiers: Armenia, Israel, Denmark, Azerbaijan, Croatia (these are five favorites, along with Germany and Slovakia), Sweden (also fairly popular), Ireland (c’mon, she’s a former winner!), Georgia (Georgian entries tend to be well-received), Romania (not necessarily popular, but it is doing surprisingly well in online polls), Turkey (because it’s Turkey)
Going home: Lithuania (too far out for many fans), Switzerland (because it’s Switzerland – though, like their last five entries, this will probably be a big fan favorite after the Contest), Ukraine (too much controversy this year), the Netherlands (even the Dutch hate this song), Slovenia (just not a lot of positive response), Bulgaria (most reviews = too boring), Cyprus (too many guys with guitars, and BiH and Belgium are getting a more press — could qualify at the expense of Georgia or Romania)
Finish with a respectable placing (Top 14) – Germany (it is already a favorite), Norway (nothing but positive comments), France (it’s vastly different than any other entry)
Finish with shame (Bottom Ten) – Spain (really bad draw position, poor reception from fans), United Kingdom (one of this year’s biggest stories is how most Britons hate this entry)
Denmark, Armenia, Germany, Israel, Croatia
There you go, my predictions, I am sure they will change as we get closer to the Contest, but here is where I stand now. Comments? Questions? Concerns?